Commentary

Trump Manager: POTUS Polling 10 Pts Higher Than When He Won White House - No Wonder Dems Panicking

For all of the controversy over his leadership during the COVID-19 crisis, it’s worth noting that America seems pretty confident in Donald Trump — confident enough that the president’s average approval rating numbers are 10 points higher than when he won back in 2016.

That’s not to say Democrats aren’t panicking. They are.

Just look at any of Joe Biden’s livestreams. I mean it, please do; the man is so lonely that only a few thousand people tuned in live to a “virtual happy hour” with a man who is a) a teetotaler and b) basically the presumptive Democratic Party presidential nominee.

The lack of engagement might be one reason why Biden and his surrogates are now busy tweeting that Trump eliminated a key pandemic preparedness office (he didn’t), that he silenced a key Centers for Disease Control and Prevention official who “was the first to raise the alarm” about the seriousness of the alarm (he didn’t) or that the president called coronavirus a “hoax” (we’ve been here before, haven’t we?).

So that could be one reason behind the invective. Another, theorizes Trump campaign manager Brad Parscale, is because of the president’s approval numbers.

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“Here’s an explanation for why @JoeBiden Democrats & the media are in full-scale attack mode against @realDonaldTrump,” Parscale tweeted Friday.

“His RealClearPolitics average approval rating today is 47.3. On Election Day 2016 it was 37.5. And he won. He’s almost 10 points higher now.”

Do you think Donald Trump will win a second term?

This is the highest job approval rating from the RealClearPolitics aggregate of Trump’s presidency, higher even than when he took office. (Before now, his highest rating was 45.9 percent on Feb. 2, 2017.) Furthermore, it was a lot higher than it was on Election Day 2016.

Trump was helped by the fact that Hillary Clinton was an unusually unpopular candidate. According to the RealClearPolitics average, even at the closest point between the two, on May 25, 2016, the difference between their popularity-unpopularity gulfs was 2.8 points in favor of Clinton.

On Nov. 7, 2016, meanwhile, that gulf was 8.4 points in Clinton’s favor. Clinton’s favorable/unfavorable numbers were 41.8 percent to 54.4 percent, a -12.6-point gap. Trump’s, meanwhile, were 37.5 to 58.5 — a -21-point gap.

And yes, this person had an 8.4-point advantage on Trump:

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Why did she lose? I cannot possibly, dear reader, think of any reason.

Lest we think that Trump is going to have a rougher go of it this time around — Biden, after all, is up by a 7.1-point margin in the RealClearPolitics polling average — don’t forget that Trump will be facing off against this man:

Unless he was talking about protecting the mope-rockers behind “Disintegration,” this doesn’t augur well.

All of which is to say that if Trump comes through this having comported himself well, it’ll be difficult to beat him.

His RealClearPolitics approval rating average for his handling of the coronavirus crisis is at 50.6 percent approval compared to 44.9 percent disapproval.

That’s not terrible when you consider you could probably get 44.9 percent of voters to express their revulsion at Donald Trump building an orphanage and funding it in perpetuity. “Sure,” they would say, “what kind of egomaniac funds an orphanage in this day and age?”

Those voters would probably be chagrined to learn that, when you consider the percentage of voters who said they approved of Trump ahead of Election Day four years ago, you get the feeling they won’t be quite as important to Donald Trump as they suspect they are. That’ll be doubly true if his approval rating stays this high.

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C. Douglas Golden is a writer who splits his time between the United States and Southeast Asia. Specializing in political commentary and world affairs, he's written for Conservative Tribune and The Western Journal since 2014.
C. Douglas Golden is a writer who splits his time between the United States and Southeast Asia. Specializing in political commentary and world affairs, he's written for Conservative Tribune and The Western Journal since 2014. Aside from politics, he enjoys spending time with his wife, literature (especially British comic novels and modern Japanese lit), indie rock, coffee, Formula One and football (of both American and world varieties).
Birthplace
Morristown, New Jersey
Education
Catholic University of America
Languages Spoken
English, Spanish
Topics of Expertise
American Politics, World Politics, Culture




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