Matt Drudge Issues a Somber Election Warning


When Matt Drudge speaks, people listen.

Well, this is 2018, so let’s be more accurate: When he tweets, people pay attention.

The reason is that it’s pretty rare. Drudge, of course, is the widely respected media mogul and famous recluse behind “The Drudge Report,” which paved the way for nearly every right-leaning publication online today.

He became a household name among conservatives after playing a key role in breaking the Clinton-Lewinsky scandal, which ultimately led to the 42nd president’s impeachment.

When it comes to Twitter, Drudge does it a bit differently from the crowd. Although followed by over half a million users, he posts infrequently, and usually deletes those messages not long after they are published.

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On Friday, that sparsely used Twitter account got attention after Drudge posted a warning to Republicans about the upcoming midterms.

“Trump and Obama both have 47% approval at this time of presidency, according to Rasmussen,” Drudge began.

“Trump will also lose 60 seats in the House like Obama did during first midterm! Unless…” he trailed off, leaving his message with a cryptic ending.

Do you agree with Drudge's assessment?

The main point, however, was clear. Despite the fact that the so-called “blue wave” of Democrat wins has been hit and miss during the primary and special election season, it looks like the GOP is facing an uphill battle to retain control of the House.

Drudge seemed to be making the prediction based on a comparison of President Trump’s support now and President Obama’s support back in 2010, which — like Trump now — was his second year in office.

That’s when Democrats lost control of the House, with a sweeping takeover by Republicans during the midterm election.

If Drudge’s warning about a 60-seat GOP loss in November comes true, that would mean that liberals would decisively re-take that chamber. Democrats actually only need to gain 23 seats to make that happen.

That isn’t welcome news for conservatives … but there are a few positive takeaways from the warning.

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First, polls aren’t perfect. This was made abundantly clear in the 2016 election, when “expert” analysts gave Trump a snowball’s chance in hell of beating Hillary Clinton. We all know how that ended.

In other words, even though outlets like FiveThirtyEight give Democrats about an 83 percent chance of re-taking the House, they could be wildly wrong once again.

The second takeaway, however, is much more important. It’s the cryptic “unless…” at the end of Drudge’s tweet.

Only he knows what was meant by that, but there’s a good chance that he was leaving room for conservative turnout to make the difference in November.

That’s the one poll that matters: The ballots on election day.

There’s a lot at stake in this election, and it goes far beyond President Trump. A Democrat takeover of the House could be disastrous for the conservative agenda … and that’s why every right-leaning citizen needs to show up and vote on Nov. 6.

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Benjamin Arie is an independent journalist and writer. He has personally covered everything ranging from local crime to the U.S. president as a reporter in Michigan before focusing on national politics. Ben frequently travels to Latin America and has spent years living in Mexico.