One of the curious things about climate science is what we assume we know about it. When it comes to the intensity of the strongest hurricanes, for instance, it’s generally held as a matter of common knowledge that global warming has ramped it up.
But here’s the thing: That might not be true at all.
And that’s not just a climate skeptic talking, at least if you consider the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration — a major government organization tasked with studying the nation’s oceans, waterways and atmosphere — as any reliable indicator.
A NOAA report last revised Monday acknowledged an apparent link between sea-level temperatures and storm activity, but seriously questions the validity of any evidence gathered so far that aims to “prove” global warming is behind the strongest storms.
“Storm size responses to anthropogenic warming are uncertain,” it states.
Democrats in the House of Representatives don’t necessarily buy what the NOAA has to say, however, for reasons you can probably imagine — and, at a House subcommittee meeting scheduled for Tuesday, the issue of increasingly powerful hurricanes is on the agenda.
That, as vocal meteorologist Ryan Maue Ph.D. pointed out, is completely anti-science.
The hearing, held by part of the House Committee on Oversight and Government Reform, is titled, “Recovery, Resiliency and Readiness — Contending with Natural Disasters in the Wake of Climate Change.”
“The Subcommittee will examine federal, state, and local preparations for the 2019 hurricane and wildfire season and assess the status of recoveries from the Southern California wildfires of 2017-2018 and Hurricanes Harvey, Irma, and Maria in Houston, Texas, the U.S. Virgin Islands, and Puerto Rico,” the agenda for the meeting states.
“The hearing will also highlight the fundamental challenges that climate change poses to federal disaster preparedness and recovery, including the link between warmer global temperatures and more intense hurricane and wildfire seasons.
“Due to climate change, ‘the number of hurricanes that reach Categories 4 and 5 in strength has roughly doubled’ since the 1970s and ‘there are no longer distinct wildfire ‘seasons’ — there are just wildfires all the time.’”
You may wonder where those quotes were coming from, since they aren’t necessarily attributable to any individual or organization. They’re not from any official governmental body. At least in regard to hurricanes, they’re from the decidedly liberal Union of Concerned Scientists.
However, as The Daily Caller points out, NOAA has repeatedly said that data points that show this are “not reliable for trend calculations, until they have been further assessed for data homogeneity problems, such as those due to changing observing practices.”
“It is premature to conclude that human activities — and particularly greenhouse gas emissions that cause global warming — have already had a detectable impact on Atlantic hurricane or global tropical cyclone activity,” the NOAA report revised Monday states.
“That said, human activities may have already caused changes that are not yet detectable due to the small magnitude of the changes or observational limitations, or are not yet confidently modeled.”
That’s not exactly the kind of confidence that the folks running the subcommittee holding this hearing seem to have in this data — and meteorologist Maue noted it in a Twitter post Sunday:
Not a good look for next House hearing on climate change and disasters that furthers inaccurate information (spreads lies) from Union of Concerned Scientists on hurricanes.
— Ryan Maue (@RyanMaue) June 23, 2019
“Not a good look for next House hearing on climate change and disasters that furthers inaccurate information (spreads lies) from Union of Concerned Scientists on hurricanes,” he wrote.
“This is not in accord with current science or consensus anywhere = fraud.”
And if that weren’t enough, he added another tweet:
“It is problematic that House Democrats would base a hearing on disasters & climate change on inaccurate info,” Maue wrote. “This suggests a deficiency in committee staff or, more likely, farming out research to activist groups. Cue the circus music and bring out the clowns”.
It is problematic that House Democrats would base a hearing on disasters & climate change on inaccurate info.
This suggests a deficiency in committee staff or, more likely, farming out research to activist groups.
Cue the circus music and bring out the clowns ?
— Ryan Maue (@RyanMaue) June 23, 2019
Maue — who did graduate work at Florida State University, according to his bio page at the libertarian-leaning Cato Institute, where he was previously an adjunct scholar — has previously engaged with those using erroneous global warming science on social media, including The Associated Press and Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez.
The problem is that he won’t have any problem finding marks to debate this with. The “global warming” activists are entrenched in the Western political, media and academic worlds.
If you asked most Americans whether global warming causing stronger hurricanes was settled science, I can guarantee you’d probably get a wide majority of them to say “yes.”
There’s no evidence of that, however. And again, that’s not just coming from me. That’s not just coming from Ryan Maue.
That’s coming from NOAA.
Since the House Democrats couldn’t get the government to agree with them, they went for the Union of Concerned Scientists — trying to push the myth of “scientific consensus” about climate change and hurricanes, especially the strongest variety of the storm, Category 4 or 5..
NOAA and Maue are showing how weak that “scientific consensus” argument is.
As liberals might be finding out, that’s how you get caught in your own trap.
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