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Western Journal Poll: Warren Takes 7 Point Lead Over McMaster in South Carolina Primary

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The Western Journal conducted a political survey to gather information on the South Carolina 2018 Republican Gubernatorial Primary Election.

Of the 360 South Carolina poll respondents, 30.8 percent prefer candidate John Warren for governor. Current Gov. Henry McMaster is preferred by 22.7 percent for re-election.

Ninety-five percent of the respondents have a favorable opinion of President Donald Trump, though only 73.4 percent consider themselves to be Republican.

The complete poll results are as follows:

1. Do you intend to vote in the June 12th primary election in South Carolina?

  • Yes — 95.3 percent
  • Undecided — 4.5 percent
  • No — 0.3 percent
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2. In the Republican primary election for governor of South Carolina on June 12, 2018, the candidates running are listed below. Please select your preference for governor among the choices listed:

  • John Warren — 30.8 percent
  • Henry McMaster- 22.7 percent
  • Undecided — 21.6 percent
  • Catherine Templeton — 19.0 percent
  • Kevin Bryant — 4.2 percent
  • Yancey McGill — 1.7 percent

3. Are you registered to vote in South Carolina?

  • Yes — 99.4 percent
  • No — 0.3 percent
  • Other — 0.3 percent

4. Do you have a favorable opinion of President Donald J. Trump?

  • Yes — 95.0 percent
  • No — 2.8 percent
  • Other — 2.2 percent

5. Regarding your party affiliation, do you consider yourself to be a:

  • Republican — 73.4 percent
  • Independent — 19.6 percent
  • Democrat — 6.4 percent
  • Other — 0.6 percent
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6. On the issue of abortion, do you consider yourself to be:

  • Pro-Life — 82.4 percent
  • Pro-Choice — 11.8 percent
  • Undecided — 3.1 percent
  • Other — 2.8 percent

7. Regarding taxes, do you want:

  • Your Taxes Decreased — 97.5 percent
  • Other — 1.4 percent
  • Your Taxes Increased — 1.1 percent

8. Do you have a favorable opinion of Nancy Pelosi?

  • No — 97.5 percent
  • Yes — 1.4 percent
  • Other — 1.1 percent

9. What is your gender?

  • Male — 50.1 percent
  • Female — 49.9 percent

10. Are you better off now than you were two years ago?

  • Yes — 82.6 percent
  • No — 13.4 percent
  • Other — 3.9 percent

11. Do you agree with the NRA and its strong support of gun owners’ rights?

  • Yes — 95.5 percent
  • Other — 2.5 percent
  • No — 2.0 percent

12. What is your age?

  • 60 or older — 51.5 percent
  • 50-59 — 26.6 percent
  • 40-49 — 11.5 percent
  • 30-39 — 7.3 percent
  • 21-29 — 2.5 percent
  • 18-20 — 0.6 percent

13. Which race/ethnicity best describes you? (Please choose only one.)

  • White/Caucasian — 93.3 percent
  • Multiple ethnicities/Other — 3.1 percent
  • American Indian or Alaska Native — 1.4 percent
  • Hispanic — 1.4 percent
  • Black or African American — 0.8 percent

14. On the topic of immigration, do you believe that America:

  • Has an illegal immigration problem — 98.6 percent
  • Other — 1.1 percent
  • Does not have an illegal immigration problem — 0.3 percent

15. Which of the following best describes your current relationship status?

  • Married — 68.1 percent
  • Divorced — 10.9 percent
  • Single, never married — 7.0 percent
  • Widowed — 5.6 percent
  • Single, but cohabiting with a significant other — 5.0 percent
  • Separated — 1.7 percent
  • In Domestic Union or Civil Partnership — 1.7 percent

16. What is the highest level of education you have completed?

  • Graduated from high school — 24.6 percent
  • Graduated from college — 21.6 percent
  • 2 years of college — 18.2 percent
  • 1 year of college — 14.3 percent
  • Completed graduate school — 10.6 percent
  • Some graduate school — 5.6 percent
  • 3 years of college — 3.4 percent
  • Did not attend school — 1.7 percent
  • 9th Grade — 0.3 percent
  • 8th Grade — 0.3 percent

17. Have you ever served in any branch of the United States military?

  • No — 73.9 percent
  • Yes — 26.1 percent

18. Which political party do you believe will control the U.S. House of Representatives after the 2018 elections?

  • Republicans — 92.4 percent
  • Undecided — 4.5 percent
  • Democrats — 3.1 percent

19. Which political party do you believe will control the U.S. Senate after the 2018 elections?

  • Republicans — 93.3 percent
  • Undecided — 4.2 percent
  • Democrats — 2.5 percent

20. How much money did you personally earn in 2017?

  • $0-$9,999 — 18.8 percent
  • $10,000-$19,999 — 11.8 percent
  • $40,000-$49,999 — 10.9 percent
  • $30,000-$39,999 — 10.6 percent
  • $20,000-$29,999 — 9.2 percent
  • $50,000-$59,999 — 9.0 percent
  • $60,000-$69,999 — 6.4 percent
  • $70,000-$79,999 — 5.6 percent
  • $100,000-$124,999 — 4.5 percent
  • $150,000 or more — 4.2 percent
  • $80,000-$89,999 — 3.4 percent
  • $125,000-$149,000 — 3.1 percent
  • $90,000-$99,999 — 2.5 percent

Of the more than 5 million people currently living in South Carolina, 3.21 million are on Facebook and 1.47 million are Republicans. The Western Journal’s political survey targeted these 1.47 million Republicans in South Carolina.

The poll consisted of three different audiences: people affiliated with the Republican Party, people who identified as conservative, and people who were both affiliated with the Republican Party and also identified themselves as conservative.

The audience demographic consisted of fluent English speakers of all genders who were at least 18 years old.

The information, comments and visits from The Western Journal’s millions of Facebook followers allow The Western Journal to invite likely gubernatorial primary voting Facebook registrants in South Carolina, and other states nationwide, to participate in the surveys we conduct with a high confidence rate that the voters we asked to respond, will actually vote. More importantly, the makeup of those who respond to The Western Journal’s surveys indicates the population of registered voters that will turn out and vote in the June 12, 2018, primary.

Each respondent’s entries reported in the article are supported by a name, email address and zip code and can be matched against voter file and other databases available to confirm voter eligibility in the state, districts and precincts targeted in this survey. Responses were statistically balanced using Facebook’s Artificial Intelligence tools and programs available to The Western Journal for this program, some of which are proprietary due to our scale and reputation.

Questions about this survey can be submitted through the contact us page.

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