Western Journal Poll: Warren Takes 7 Point Lead Over McMaster in South Carolina Primary

By The Western Journal June 5, 2018 at 3:11pm

The Western Journal conducted a political survey to gather information on the South Carolina 2018 Republican Gubernatorial Primary Election.

Of the 360 South Carolina poll respondents, 30.8 percent prefer candidate John Warren for governor. Current Gov. Henry McMaster is preferred by 22.7 percent for re-election.

Ninety-five percent of the respondents have a favorable opinion of President Donald Trump, though only 73.4 percent consider themselves to be Republican.

The complete poll results are as follows:

1. Do you intend to vote in the June 12th primary election in South Carolina?

Yes — 95.3 percent
Undecided — 4.5 percent
No — 0.3 percent

2. In the Republican primary election for governor of South Carolina on June 12, 2018, the candidates running are listed below. Please select your preference for governor among the choices listed:

John Warren — 30.8 percent
Henry McMaster- 22.7 percent
Undecided — 21.6 percent
Catherine Templeton — 19.0 percent
Kevin Bryant — 4.2 percent
Yancey McGill — 1.7 percent

3. Are you registered to vote in South Carolina?

Yes — 99.4 percent
No — 0.3 percent
Other — 0.3 percent

4. Do you have a favorable opinion of President Donald J. Trump?

Yes — 95.0 percent
No — 2.8 percent
Other — 2.2 percent

5. Regarding your party affiliation, do you consider yourself to be a:

Republican — 73.4 percent
Independent — 19.6 percent
Democrat — 6.4 percent
Other — 0.6 percent

6. On the issue of abortion, do you consider yourself to be:

Pro-Life — 82.4 percent
Pro-Choice — 11.8 percent
Undecided — 3.1 percent
Other — 2.8 percent

7. Regarding taxes, do you want:

Your Taxes Decreased — 97.5 percent
Other — 1.4 percent
Your Taxes Increased — 1.1 percent

8. Do you have a favorable opinion of Nancy Pelosi?

No — 97.5 percent
Yes — 1.4 percent
Other — 1.1 percent

9. What is your gender?

Male — 50.1 percent
Female — 49.9 percent

10. Are you better off now than you were two years ago?

Yes — 82.6 percent
No — 13.4 percent
Other — 3.9 percent

11. Do you agree with the NRA and its strong support of gun owners’ rights?

Yes — 95.5 percent
Other — 2.5 percent
No — 2.0 percent

12. What is your age?

60 or older — 51.5 percent
50-59 — 26.6 percent
40-49 — 11.5 percent
30-39 — 7.3 percent
21-29 — 2.5 percent
18-20 — 0.6 percent

13. Which race/ethnicity best describes you? (Please choose only one.)

White/Caucasian — 93.3 percent
Multiple ethnicities/Other — 3.1 percent
American Indian or Alaska Native — 1.4 percent
Hispanic — 1.4 percent
Black or African American — 0.8 percent

14. On the topic of immigration, do you believe that America:

Has an illegal immigration problem — 98.6 percent
Other — 1.1 percent
Does not have an illegal immigration problem — 0.3 percent

15. Which of the following best describes your current relationship status?

Married — 68.1 percent
Divorced — 10.9 percent
Single, never married — 7.0 percent
Widowed — 5.6 percent
Single, but cohabiting with a significant other — 5.0 percent
Separated — 1.7 percent
In Domestic Union or Civil Partnership — 1.7 percent

16. What is the highest level of education you have completed?

Graduated from high school — 24.6 percent
Graduated from college — 21.6 percent
2 years of college — 18.2 percent
1 year of college — 14.3 percent
Completed graduate school — 10.6 percent
Some graduate school — 5.6 percent
3 years of college — 3.4 percent
Did not attend school — 1.7 percent
9th Grade — 0.3 percent
8th Grade — 0.3 percent

17. Have you ever served in any branch of the United States military?

No — 73.9 percent
Yes — 26.1 percent

18. Which political party do you believe will control the U.S. House of Representatives after the 2018 elections?

Republicans — 92.4 percent
Undecided — 4.5 percent
Democrats — 3.1 percent

19. Which political party do you believe will control the U.S. Senate after the 2018 elections?

Republicans — 93.3 percent
Undecided — 4.2 percent
Democrats — 2.5 percent

20. How much money did you personally earn in 2017?

$0-$9,999 — 18.8 percent
$10,000-$19,999 — 11.8 percent
$40,000-$49,999 — 10.9 percent
$30,000-$39,999 — 10.6 percent
$20,000-$29,999 — 9.2 percent
$50,000-$59,999 — 9.0 percent
$60,000-$69,999 — 6.4 percent
$70,000-$79,999 — 5.6 percent
$100,000-$124,999 — 4.5 percent
$150,000 or more — 4.2 percent
$80,000-$89,999 — 3.4 percent
$125,000-$149,000 — 3.1 percent
$90,000-$99,999 — 2.5 percent

Of the more than 5 million people currently living in South Carolina, 3.21 million are on Facebook and 1.47 million are Republicans. The Western Journal’s political survey targeted these 1.47 million Republicans in South Carolina.

The poll consisted of three different audiences: people affiliated with the Republican Party, people who identified as conservative, and people who were both affiliated with the Republican Party and also identified themselves as conservative.

The audience demographic consisted of fluent English speakers of all genders who were at least 18 years old.

The information, comments and visits from The Western Journal’s millions of Facebook followers allow The Western Journal to invite likely gubernatorial primary voting Facebook registrants in South Carolina, and other states nationwide, to participate in the surveys we conduct with a high confidence rate that the voters we asked to respond, will actually vote. More importantly, the makeup of those who respond to The Western Journal’s surveys indicates the population of registered voters that will turn out and vote in the June 12, 2018, primary.

Each respondent’s entries reported in the article are supported by a name, email address and zip code and can be matched against voter file and other databases available to confirm voter eligibility in the state, districts and precincts targeted in this survey. Responses were statistically balanced using Facebook’s Artificial Intelligence tools and programs available to The Western Journal for this program, some of which are proprietary due to our scale and reputation.

Questions about this survey can be submitted through the contact us page.

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