A new poll finds President Donald Trump and Democratic nominee Joe Biden locked in a dead heat in the battleground state of Pennsylvania, where Trump is also receiving significant support from minority voters.
Additionally, 4 percent of voters do not intend to vote for either candidate, while another 4 percent of those surveyed remain undecided on a candidate.
But of the 82 percent of likely voters who know who they intend to vote for, Trump leads Biden 51 percent to 49 percent.
Even more good news for the president is that he has the support of 27 percent of black likely voters in Pennsylvania.
The Rasmussen poll surveyed 1,000 likely voters and was conducted between Aug. 25 and Aug. 27 with a margin error of +/- 3 percentage points.
If Pennsylvania is indicative in any way of how black voters feel about the president nationally, it could spell disaster for Biden and Democrats.
Trump has worked hard to court black voters for years by focusing not only on bringing jobs to the black community, but on implementing criminal justice reform as well.
Biden, like other Democrats, is strong on the rhetoric, but Democrats have never delivered results for black Americans.
Trump, on the other hand, can boast he presided over an economy which saw black unemployment fall to its lowest level in almost 50 years.
In 2016, Trump received only 8 percent of black votes, NBC News reported on its day-after autopsy of Hillary Clinton’s stunning loss, citing exit polls.
There is a strong belief among some that Trump could attract far more black voters in November.
Fox News contributor Leo Terrell, a former Trump critic, told Fox News host Sean Hannity this week he will be voting for the president, and he doesn’t think he will be alone.
“I brought over 300,000 black Democrats to vote for Trump. I’m bringing more and more and more,” Terrell said.
“Trump is going to get the highest number of black votes ever in modern-day history for a Republican. Black voters are voting for Trump.”
The Rasmussen survey is no outlier in showing a significant increase in popularity for Trump among black voters:
Among Black Voters:
Biden 66% (-23 vs 2016 results)
Trump 28% (+20)
Among Hispanic Voters:
Biden 56% (-10)
Trump 41% (+13) https://t.co/4JdE2Sp3GY
— Political Polls (@PpollingNumbers) September 1, 2020
Trump getting significant Black and Hispanic support according to Emerson:
Blacks: Trump gets 19%
Hispanics: Trump gets 37%https://t.co/4scVk7JK3O
— PollWatch (@PollWatch2020) August 31, 2020
The fact that the Rasmussen survey showed Trump deadlocked with Biden in Pennsylvania is excellent news for the president, as polls for the commonwealth in 2016 showed him behind Clinton, even in November of that year.
The RealClearPolitics average for Pennsylvania in the days leading up to the election had Clinton ahead by 2.1 percentage points.
On Oct. 27, 2016, The New York Times reported Trump was down by 7 percentage points in Pennsylvania and concluded the state was “out of reach.”
He went on to carry the state by a slim margin of roughly 44,000 votes, despite polls having him down big, according to The Times.
Now in September 2020, nearly four years later, a poll shows Trump tied with a Democrat in Pennsylvania, with significant support from black likely voters in the commonwealth.
And that was before Trump spoke to an enthusiastic and large crowd in Latrobe on Thursday:
— Kayleigh McEnany (@kayleighmcenany) September 3, 2020
3.5 hours before Trump’s rally, and with the parking lot already full, here’s the backlog in Latrobe. pic.twitter.com/PKc5sqoiyQ
— Scott Detrow (@scottdetrow) September 3, 2020
Enthusiasm for those who support the president in Pennsylvania is certainly not lacking.
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