Conservative talk show host Rush Limbaugh unequivocally stated recently that Republicans will win in November despite what the polls might be saying.
Dee from Des Moines, Iowa, called into his show May 21 and expressed concern about the close Senate race in Iowa. She asked the radio legend for his take on the matchup between incumbent Republican Sen. Joni Ernst and likely Democratic challenger Theresa Greenfield.
Limbaugh said he isn’t worried. In fact, he purposefully ignores stories about how Senate Republicans or President Donald Trump are going to lose in November because he doesn’t think they are accurate.
“If the news is negative about Republicans losing the Senate, I immediately ignore it and go [raspberry] ’cause it ain’t happening. If there’s a story about Biden beating Trump by 11, I go [raspberry] ’cause it’s BS; it isn’t happening,” Limbaugh said, according to a transcript on RushLimbaugh.com.
“Trump is not losing the election, and we’re not losing the Senate, and we may win the House,” he added.
Limbaugh went on to explain why he does not put any stock in polls.
“All of this in the Drive-By Media is BS! Whatever Nancy Pelosi and Chuck Schumer are threatening or promising is BS. There’s not a shred of truth in the Drive-By Media. There’s not a shred of truth in all these polls. The polls can’t possibly be accurate. Ignore them!” he said.
“The things that are going to [determine] the outcome of the election in November haven’t even happened yet.”
And he does have a point.
In 2016, every major poll had Democrat presidential nominee Hillary Clinton winning by a wide margin over Trump.
The day before the 2016 election, Reuters published the results of it’s final pre-election poll, which gave Clinton a 90 percent chance of winning the presidency.
The Reuters/Ipsos States of the Nation nation didn’t have the race close, and the outlet reported at the time that the only way Trump could win was through the “unlikely combination of turnouts of white, black and Hispanic voters in six or seven states.”
Well, we know how that turned out.
In the final weeks of that legendary race, an ABC News reported Clinton had a double-digit lead nationwide.
Remind me, if you will: What was the final electoral vote tally?
A similar tone is now being set with current polls.
Many are already giving the White House to the presumptive Democratic challenger Joe Biden, even though the election is six months away, based on polling results.
But as we saw four years ago, polling is not necessarily a good indicator of who will actually win. If it were, Hillary Clinton would be in the White House.
What matters are the people who actually go out and cast a vote.
Plus, as Limbaugh pointed out, a lot can happen between now and November.
America is already starting to reopen, and if Trump can get the economy back on track, that would likely inspire plenty of Americans to vote for him again.
In fact, some top Democrats are apparently quite concerned that an economic comeback could serve as a boost for Trump’s re-election bid while hurting Biden, according to one report.
And if Trump is able to resume his enormous rallies later this year, he could energize his base. Democrats are no doubt afraid that this might happen.
“I’m not a political professional strategist, analyst in that regard. I don’t get caught up in polling data minutia and think tank position papers and all this, ’cause nobody knows,” Limbaugh said.
“It’s impossible to know. And the fact is and the fact remains that whatever it is that’s going to determine who wins the election, presidential and all these local, state and congressional races, the events that are going to determine those outcomes have not happened yet.”
He’s confident the polls will once again be wrong, and that the combination of voters who turned out for Trump four years ago will show up and vote for him again.
Truth and Accuracy
We are committed to truth and accuracy in all of our journalism. Read our editorial standards.